What are the consequences of publication bias regarding the establishment of scientific facts? This article explores the ’process by which a claim becomes fact.’ It pictures the confidence of a community in a scientific claim as a Markov process, in which the degree of belief shifts with the publication of new results. The authors argue that if this model reflects the real world, then publication bias creates serious problems because it can lead to the canonization of false facts.
Title: Publication bias and the canonization of false facts
Authors: Nissen SB, Magidson T, Gross K, Bergstrom CT.
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